Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-24 365.899370 415.743052 471.320570 538.145771 616.655377 706.377872 817.263906
2025-08-31 287.631867 351.332241 428.871114 531.219689 664.282212 833.529677 1068.514532
2025-09-07 248.627061 318.110045 407.645645 533.414348 708.669645 949.053533 1312.347976
2025-09-14 216.554659 287.130482 382.182196 522.424364 729.079055 1030.694135 1520.381135
2025-09-21 194.974560 266.513559 366.598021 520.747550 759.459481 1128.010837 1767.402882
2025-09-28 172.029751 240.900855 340.223572 498.606865 754.067254 1167.391029 1926.040562
2025-10-05 163.691639 235.217105 341.788943 518.273164 815.989015 1323.597606 2317.193660
2025-10-12 157.433952 231.751098 345.934664 541.948748 887.242958 1507.028653 2800.904081
2025-10-19 147.657667 221.755108 338.553996 545.231208 923.018644 1632.008789 3198.752054
2025-10-26 135.915305 207.510634 322.779969 531.976377 926.470917 1695.503518 3480.989320
2025-11-02 126.347178 195.935873 310.253075 522.814906 935.927057 1771.792130 3810.167878
2025-11-09 121.795473 192.220192 310.571211 536.796239 991.978283 1953.756256 4439.717846
2025-11-16 114.664160 183.749220 302.178692 534.131184 1015.469415 2073.031338 4956.482108
2025-11-23 107.291546 174.310173 291.275511 525.485990 1025.470556 2164.554529 5430.705301
2025-11-30 102.222834 168.478248 286.310636 527.849136 1059.311445 2318.471589 6134.328480
2025-12-07 95.863545 159.858389 275.438184 516.975019 1061.956809 2396.328637 6635.697711
2025-12-14 91.243895 154.049931 269.351860 515.321468 1085.511299 2532.431676 7375.498262
2025-12-21 84.590342 144.053310 254.471543 493.455645 1058.149258 2528.188540 7638.082860
2025-12-28 83.220375 143.796738 258.477237 512.877717 1134.058927 2824.399770 9104.839551
2026-01-04 82.295561 144.296259 263.988531 536.256817 1223.913346 3183.683587 11001.266896
2026-01-11 79.335821 140.662482 260.829677 539.497968 1261.987533 3397.083119 12412.369397
2026-01-18 75.007056 134.080100 251.109881 526.409646 1254.257219 3464.824459 13214.298411
2026-01-25 71.364729 128.641968 243.400085 517.362785 1256.509409 3566.528622 14236.270483